Econ Writing Plus
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Barrios Skills — John Barrios’s curated workflow for economists and accountants. Prioritize reproducible empirical work, clear identification language, and journal-ready output.
Econ Writing Plus
Advanced, method-specific additions to the existing economic-writing skill set. Use alongside economic-writing, econ-humanizer, research-grants, pre-submission-review, and referee-report — not instead of them.
When in doubt: default to the broader econ skills for general structure (abstract, intro, conclusion, review). Invoke this skill for: - Writing or reviewing an identification section — see identification-strategies.md - Preparing AEA / Econometrica / EJ submission compliance - ERC grant proposals (the existing research-grants skill only covers NSF/NIH/DOE/DARPA) - Field-specific conventions in macro, trade, or finance - Title evaluation - Translating statistical significance into economic magnitudes
1. IDENTIFICATION STRATEGIES (Primary Reference)
See identification-strategies.md for detailed writing conventions for each of the following:
- Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) — ITT vs. LATE, attrition, spillovers, take-up
- Difference-in-Differences (DiD) — parallel trends, event study, modern estimators
- Instrumental Variables (IV) — instrument relevance, exclusion restriction, complier population, Anderson-Rubin CIs
- Regression Discontinuity (RDD) — running variable, McCrary density test, bandwidth sensitivity, LOCAL interpretation
- Synthetic Control — donor pool, pre-treatment fit, placebo inference
- Synthetic DiD (Arkhangelsky et al.) — doubly robust, unit + time weights
- Structural Estimation — identifying vs. functional-form assumptions, model fit, counterfactuals as payoff
- Descriptive / Measurement — explicitly disclaim causality, data construction as contribution
- Bunching Estimation (Saez, Kleven) — counterfactual distribution, optimization frictions
- Shift-Share / Bartik — share vs. shift exogeneity (Goldsmith-Pinkham et al.; Borusyak-Hull-Jaravel), leave-one-out
- Event Studies — pre-period coefficients, normalization, staggered-event estimators
- ML for Causal Inference — Causal Forests, double/debiased ML, cross-fitting
- Multi-strategy papers — name a primary, frame others as complementary
Modern DiD estimator guidance (critical for current submissions)
If a DiD paper uses staggered treatment adoption, do NOT present only two-way fixed effects. Use:
- Goodman-Bacon (2021) decomposition to show which 2×2 comparisons drive the TWFE estimate (exposes negative-weight problem)
- Callaway & Sant’Anna (2021) for heterogeneous treatment effects over time
- Sun & Abraham (2021) for event-study specifications under staggered adoption
- de Chaisemartin & D’Haultfoeuille (2020) for the no-sign-reversal assumption
Present results from BOTH traditional TWFE and a robust estimator. If they differ, explain why (negative weights, treatment effect heterogeneity). The event-study plot should come from the robust estimator, not the TWFE version.
Adapting the introduction by paper type
| Paper Type | Hook Strategy | Paragraphs 4-6 | Key Threat |
|---|---|---|---|
| RCT | Policy relevance of intervention | ITT and LATE estimates | Attrition, spillovers, external validity |
| DiD | Policy change / natural experiment | Main DiD + event study | Parallel trends, anticipation |
| IV | The instrument and why it’s clever | OLS vs. IV comparison | Exclusion restriction, weak instruments |
| RDD | The cutoff and its stakes | RD estimate + bandwidth sensitivity | Manipulation, other discontinuities |
| Synthetic Control | Treated unit + event | Synthetic vs. actual trajectory | Pre-treatment fit, donor pool |
| Synthetic DiD | Policy change + few treated units | Synth-DiD vs. DiD vs. SC | Parallel trends, synth-control fit |
| Structural | Question requiring a model | Counterfactual results | Model assumptions, external validity |
| Theory | Puzzle the model resolves | Main proposition + intuition | Robustness to assumptions |
| Descriptive | Why the fact matters | Key patterns with magnitudes | Measurement validity, sample selection |
| Bunching | Policy kink/notch + affected group | Elasticity + bunching plot | Optimization frictions, manipulation |
| Shift-Share | Shock + local exposure | Main estimate + leave-one-out | Share exogeneity, shock exogeneity |
| Event Study | Event + stakes | Plot + key coefficients | Pre-trends, anticipation |
| ML/Causal | Prediction or heterogeneity question | ML vs. parametric comparison | Overfitting, interpretability |
2. AEA REPLICATION PACKAGE STANDARDS
Every empirical paper submitted to AEA journals (and increasingly Econometrica, EJ, field journals) must include a replication package meeting the Data Editor standards.
README structure (Social Science Data Editors template): 1. Data Availability & Provenance — who owns the data, how to access 2. Dataset List — every file, source, description 3. Computational Requirements — software, packages, runtime, hardware 4. Programs Description — what each script does, execution order 5. Replicator Instructions — step-by-step, reproducible without manual intervention
Directory structure:
data/raw/ <- original downloaded data, never modified
data/analysis/ <- cleaned analysis-ready datasets
code/ <- all scripts, numbered in execution order
results/ <- generated tables and figures
Rules: - Cite every dataset in the References section with standard in-text citations - Code must reproduce all results without manual intervention (one config file for paths is the only exception) - Map every table and figure to a specific program file - For restricted-access data: include a Data Availability Statement explaining the application procedure, wait times, and monetary costs - Include LICENSE.txt (default: CC-BY 4.0)
3. AI-USE DISCLOSURE
AEA policy: AI cannot be listed as an author. Disclose AI use during submission. Econometric Society: Co-authors must sign a responsibility statement accepting responsibility for all content.
What to disclose: drafting assistance, code generation, literature search, data analysis suggestions. Typically no disclosure needed: spell-check, grammar tools, LaTeX formatting.
Core rule: If AI drafted a paragraph, read it as if a careless RA wrote it — verify every fact, citation, and number. You are responsible for all AI-generated content.
4. ERC GRANT STRUCTURE
(Complements research-grants, which covers NSF/NIH/DOE/DARPA.)
ERC reviewer priorities differ from NSF: - PI track record is weighted heavily — foreground publication record, citation impact, career trajectory - “High-risk, high-gain” framing is mandatory — ERC explicitly funds frontier risk-taking, not incremental extensions - Societal relevance section should connect to real policy questions, not abstract “advancing knowledge”
Proposal structure: 1. Extended synopsis (5 pages): question, approach, expected impact — written for a smart non-specialist 2. Scientific proposal (14 pages for StG/CoG, 15 for AdG): detailed research plan, methodology, feasibility 3. CV + track record (2 + 2 pages): highlight your contributions, not co-authors’ 4. Budget justification: link every cost to a specific research activity
Common mistake: writing like a finished paper. A proposal sells the plan, not findings. Emphasize what you WILL learn.
5. FIELD-SPECIFIC CONVENTIONS
Macroeconomics
- Papers are longer (40–60 pages normal); the “under 40 pages” rule does not apply
- Calibration tables are standard: parameter | value | source/target moment
- Impulse response functions (IRFs) are the primary visualization, not regression tables
- “Model Fit” section comparing model moments to data moments is expected
- DSGE papers: describe steady state, log-linearization or solution method, shock specification
- Phrase results as “the model generates X” rather than “I find X”
Trade
- Gravity estimation: use PPML, multilateral resistance controls, explicit fixed-effects structure
- General equilibrium counterfactuals are expected in structural trade papers
- Use 3-year or 5-year panel intervals (not annual) with specific justification
Finance
- Abstract limit is often 100 words (not 150) — check target journal
- Fama-MacBeth regressions and portfolio-sort presentation are standard
- Variable winsorization at 1%/99% is expected and must be reported
- Chicago Manual of Style citation at some journals (differs from AEA)
Development / Applied Micro with RCTs
- Pre-registration is nearly mandatory
- Include a CONSORT-style flow diagram (enrollment → randomization → attrition → analysis)
- Report cost-effectiveness alongside treatment effects
- Balance tables belong prominently in the paper, not the appendix
6. TITLE EVALUATION FRAMEWORK
Score any candidate title 1–10 on each dimension:
- Clarity — Can a non-specialist understand the topic in one reading?
- Specificity — Are treatment/cause and outcome/effect both named?
- Length — Under 12 words is ideal; under 15 is acceptable
- Memorability — Would someone remember it at a conference?
- No methodology — Does it emphasize the finding, not the method? (Exception: you invented the method.)
Good: - “The Oregon Health Insurance Experiment: Evidence from the First Year” - “The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition” - “Pollution and Mortality: Evidence from the 1952 London Fog”
Bad: - “A Difference-in-Differences Analysis of Education Policy” (methodology, not finding) - “On the Relationship Between Various Factors and Economic Outcomes” (says nothing) - “Essays on Labor Economics” (acceptable for dissertation, never for a paper)
Formulas that work: - “The Impact of [D] on [Y]: Evidence from [Context]” - “[D] and [Y]” (shorter, acceptable) - Theory: name the key mechanism, not the technique - Structural: “[Counterfactual Question]: Evidence from [Context]”
7. ECONOMIC SIGNIFICANCE (Not Just Statistical)
Never report a coefficient without translating it. Rules:
- Translate to meaningful units: dollars, percentage points, standard deviations, policy benchmarks
- Compare effect size to at least one of:
- Mean of the dependent variable
- A well-known intervention (e.g., “equivalent to 60% of the Moving to Opportunity effect”)
- A policy-relevant threshold (e.g., the poverty line)
- For elasticities, state whether computed at the mean, median, or arc
- Back-of-envelope calculations are encouraged — show the reader what the number means in aggregate
- Null results: distinguish “precisely estimated zero” (report CI and rule out effects above X) from “imprecisely estimated” (wide CI). Discuss statistical power. If pre-registered, emphasize that.
8. MULTIPLE TESTING
When testing multiple outcomes or subgroups: - Acknowledge the problem explicitly - Report family-wise error rate (Bonferroni, Holm) or false discovery rate (Benjamini-Hochberg) corrections - At minimum, flag results surviving the correction - For heterogeneity: pre-specify subgroups based on theory, not data mining; report the number of subgroups tested
9. HOW TO USE THIS SKILL ALONGSIDE OTHERS
| Task | Primary skill | Add from this skill |
|---|---|---|
| Draft an intro | economic-writing |
Paper-type hook table (§1), title eval (§6) |
| Write identification section | economic-writing |
Full identification-strategies.md |
| Rewrite for voice | econ-humanizer |
— (no overlap) |
| Pre-submission audit | pre-submission-review |
AEA replication check (§2), AI disclosure (§3) |
| Referee response | referee-report |
— (no overlap) |
| NSF/NIH grant | research-grants |
— |
| ERC grant | research-grants + this skill (§4) |
§4 is the delta |
| Finance paper | economic-writing |
§5 (100-word abstract, FM regressions) |
| Macro paper | economic-writing |
§5 (IRFs, calibration tables) |
| Staggered DiD | economic-writing |
§1 modern-estimator guidance |
Synthesized from the hanlulong/econ-writing-skill corpus (50+ sources: Cochrane, McCloskey, Head, Bellemare, Shapiro, Goldin & Katz, Glaeser, Kremer, Nikolov, Schwabish, Evans, Dudenhefer) plus the modern DiD and shift-share literatures.